he FX market still has a sluggish feel to it today, and much of North America will likely remain out after the Thanksgiving holiday yesterday. The lack of participation has limited EURUSD’s losses over the past 24 hours, as the pair broke into fresh lows this morning, but has thus far not managed to extend the sell-off beyond 1.3299. The slowed rate of selling was certainly not due to a lack of fundamental drivers, as Eurozone debt concerns continue to hang over the currency and sovereign bond yields in Europe are still trading at alarmingly elevated levels. Credit agency Fitch added fuel to the fire by downgrading Portugal’s credit rating to BB+; making it the second ratings agency to cut Portuguese debt to junk status. Meanwhile, talks about changes to the structure of the Eurozone remain on the periphery, with Germany steadfast in its objection to common bond issuance.
During the Asian session, Japan’s October CPI figures came out slightly lower than expected; with the national reading hitting -0.2% YoY, down from 0.0% last month. This shift back to a deflationary environment will no doubt invigorate chatter about the strength of the JPY and the effect it is having on the economic recovery. Japanese policy makers have warned for a long time that the excessive strength of the currency is putting downward pressure on inflation and hindering exports, so this outcome should bolster their conviction that countering JPY-strength is the correct strategy. USDJPY volatility has been relatively stable around 77.00 levels for the past few sessions, but there was a spike up to 77.54 after the CPI came out as speculators priced in the increased probability of BoJ intervention.
Coming up in today’s session there is very little economic data due for release; but look out for the BoE’s Martin Weale speaking in London this afternoon, as his comments will no doubt be scrutinized for any new hints about the MPC’s thinking. Aside from that, bond market headlines and rhetoric from European leaders will likely dominate.
By
During the Asian session, Japan’s October CPI figures came out slightly lower than expected; with the national reading hitting -0.2% YoY, down from 0.0% last month. This shift back to a deflationary environment will no doubt invigorate chatter about the strength of the JPY and the effect it is having on the economic recovery. Japanese policy makers have warned for a long time that the excessive strength of the currency is putting downward pressure on inflation and hindering exports, so this outcome should bolster their conviction that countering JPY-strength is the correct strategy. USDJPY volatility has been relatively stable around 77.00 levels for the past few sessions, but there was a spike up to 77.54 after the CPI came out as speculators priced in the increased probability of BoJ intervention.
Coming up in today’s session there is very little economic data due for release; but look out for the BoE’s Martin Weale speaking in London this afternoon, as his comments will no doubt be scrutinized for any new hints about the MPC’s thinking. Aside from that, bond market headlines and rhetoric from European leaders will likely dominate.
By
M.Zohaib Gadit
Forex Trading Consultant
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