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Shivani Financial GBP/USD short term bottom seems 5478-5383 and top 6210-42. Shivani Financial EUR/USD short term bottom seems 2580-2618 and top 3510. Shivani Financial USD seems to weaken this quarter with GBP target of 6330 and EUR of 3250 if talks of QE3 takes place and euro area resolution policies implemented without new story. Shivani FinancialGold has taken correction according to our forecast for it to go 1850 by August end.

Wednesday, October 5, 2011

Greece that it actually has money until mid-November managed to overcome some negative headlines (05-Oct-2011)


Some positive headlines regarding a bank aid plan and a sudden acknowledgement from Greece that it actually has money until mid-November managed to overcome some negative headlines.
It allowed EUR/USD to make a significant comeback and return to just where it closed on Friday. Here are 7 highlights:
  1. Greece suddenly realized that it has money until mid-November, just after the troika decision was delayed to that period of time.
  2. The Financial Times reports that the EU is working on a plan to bailout the plans. Both headlines fit perfectly into the talks of a Greek default at the beginning November, and a preparation till then.
  3. The French and Belgian governments and central banks pledged to back Dexia, declaring that deposits are safe.
  4. Italy was significantly downgraded by Moody’s – by 3 notches. The statement includes wording about further “substantial” downgrades on the way.
  5. S&P left Portugal’s credit rating unchanged, but the outlook remains negative.
  6. German chancellor Merkel warns of dangers of a Greek default.
  7. Ben Bernanke warns of the dangers of a disorderly Greek default.
The timetable is more flexible now that Greece can take its time until mid November. The focus returns to the banks.
EUR/USD fell as low as 1.3144, setting a new 8 month low, but bounced very nicely. 1.3360 serves as a strong cap – this is the area where the pair closed on Friday

By
M.Zohaib Gadit
Forex Trading Consultant

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