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Shivani Financial GBP/USD short term bottom seems 5478-5383 and top 6210-42. Shivani Financial EUR/USD short term bottom seems 2580-2618 and top 3510. Shivani Financial USD seems to weaken this quarter with GBP target of 6330 and EUR of 3250 if talks of QE3 takes place and euro area resolution policies implemented without new story. Shivani FinancialGold has taken correction according to our forecast for it to go 1850 by August end.

Monday, September 19, 2011

Commodity Technical Outlook


Commodities Market: Technical Outlook
September 19, 2011
R2=1855.91
R1=1831.67
PP=1797.38
S1=1773.13        
S2=1738.85


On Friday, gold after making a low of 1762.59$, bounced back to close on a positive note at 1807.62$, up 16.90$. The RSI has shown improvement and the Stochastic Oscillator has generated a buy signal indicating that a short term upward movement is likely targeting the 14-DMA standing 1845$. While the short term moving average (14-DMA) has taken a downturn and the MACD has maintained its declining trend suggesting that the trend still appears to be bearish.I therefore suggest investors to view any upside as an opportunity to ‘Sell’, keeping stoploss above 1845$. The support and resistance are lined up at 1786.29$ and 1826.75$, respectively.

 
Fundamental:
Gold rose 0.7% on Monday, extending the previous session's 1.2-percent rise, as investors worried about euro zone's debt crisis sought safe haven in bullion, while sluggish U.S. consumer sentiment data lent support. The European Union reached a deal on Friday to toughen its budget rules, in a bid to restore some market confidence in euro zone public finances and prevent another sovereign debt crisis.

By
M.Zohaib Gadit
Forex Trading Consultant

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