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Shivani Financial GBP/USD short term bottom seems 5478-5383 and top 6210-42. Shivani Financial EUR/USD short term bottom seems 2580-2618 and top 3510. Shivani Financial USD seems to weaken this quarter with GBP target of 6330 and EUR of 3250 if talks of QE3 takes place and euro area resolution policies implemented without new story. Shivani FinancialGold has taken correction according to our forecast for it to go 1850 by August end.

Tuesday, August 16, 2011

Merkel and Sarkozy to discuss joint borrowing or a mutual guarantee among the 17 euro states

Data on German GDP showed the nation’s growth almost stalled in Q2 after it rose 0.1% from last quarter’s 1.3% rise in growth before a report that will probably show euro-area gross domestic product cooled. The slowing recovery may add to concern nations will struggle to curb budget deficits, with France and Germany set to meet amid growing calls from investors for policy makers to do more to stamp out EU’s debt crisis. U.S. data may also show housing starts fell, while factory production increased. Sarkozy and Merkel are meeting after debt concerns rattled France last week. After a July 21 EU agreement to bolster the region’s rescue fund failed to calm markets, calls are growing for Merkel and Sarkozy to discuss joint borrowing or a mutual guarantee among the 17 euro states, policies that Germany and France have previously rejected. Doubts over France’s AAA credit rating hammered shares in the country’s banks and sent the risk premium of its government bonds above Germany’s to a EU record as the ECB began buying Spanish and Italian debt.

Fed’s Lockhart said the central bank could purchase more Treasuries or alter its balance sheet if the U.S. economy were to slow further. The FOMC lowered its economic assessment, saying it now “expects a somewhat slower pace of recovery over the coming quarters.” It left the door open for more action, saying it discussed “the range of policy tools available to promote a stronger economic recovery.” In other news, minutes of the RBA’s Aug. 2 meeting showed policy makers were concerned that turmoil in financial markets could slow global economic growth. The case against tightening at this meeting was that the downside risks to demand had probably increased, as a result of the acute uncertainty in global financial markets. This in turn could weaken the outlook for demand relative to the central forecast and, over the medium term, dampen the inflation outlook



By 
M.Zohaib Gadit
Forex Trading Consultant, Shivani Financial


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