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Shivani Financial GBP/USD short term bottom seems 5478-5383 and top 6210-42. Shivani Financial EUR/USD short term bottom seems 2580-2618 and top 3510. Shivani Financial USD seems to weaken this quarter with GBP target of 6330 and EUR of 3250 if talks of QE3 takes place and euro area resolution policies implemented without new story. Shivani FinancialGold has taken correction according to our forecast for it to go 1850 by August end.

Monday, August 29, 2011

Financial markets are stable to slightly higher at the start of this week

Financial markets are stable to slightly higher at the start of this week as Asian investors finally got their chance to express a reaction to Bernanke’s speech at Jackson Hole on Friday, and hurricane Irene was downgraded to a tropical storm. Both Bernanke and Irene were anticipated to have major impacts (one on the US economy as a whole, the other more focused on the Eastern seaboard), but neither provided consequences as dramatic as some had forecast. The Nikkei today is currently trading +0.6%, with the Hang Seng +1.2%; but the Shanghai Composite is the lone underperformer trading at -1.3%.

It was announced late in the Asian session that Japanese Finance Minister Noda has won the DPJ leadership election and therefore will become Japan’s sixth Prime Minister in just 5 years. It is unclear at this stage who will replace him at the MoF, but it is unlikely that whoever it is will be any more comfortable with the strength of the Japanese currency. USDJPY has been largely unaffected by the news, as the pair is content to trade around 76.60 levels as it did for most of last week.

Looking ahead, it is a UK public holiday today so i expect lower liquidity in the European session – at least until US markets start to open later in the day. There will be a glut of German regional CPI readings released throughout the morning; and the composite German figure is expected to drop to -0.1% MoM, +2.3% YoY (compared to July’s reading of +0.4%, +2.4%). This afternoon the US will see the release of July’s PCE data, personal income/spending and the Dallas Fed manufacturing index .

By
M.Zohaib Gadit
Forex Trading Consultant

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